H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy More Like Hurricane Tortilla ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced decently given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was initially expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and very effective hurricane that triggered huge destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy should spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is anticipated to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has set off hurricane warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon professional Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists formerly cautioned typhoons could form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy